No Constitution No Peace in Nepal

Is the Nepalese Constitution and Peace Process in Limbo ?

May 28, is the most crucial day for Nepali people. All Nepali, neighboring countries, and the international communities are very closely watching Nepal's peace process and political transition. If today Nepali Political parties couldn't come to an positive agreement for the extension of Constituent Assembly by 12 PM Nepal will again move another term of violence and uncertainty.

Indian, US and European interest and support will be converted into advice--concern--deep concern and --finally invite international interference in Nepal.

We can hope for the best solutions like: Maoist will hand over their arms and PLA to the Goverment and NC, UML and Madeshi Morcha will offer Maoists to lead the government where all parties will provide their support. The new government will carry only three agenda:

a. New constitution

b. Integration of PLA in Security force through greater Security Sector Reform Plan and

c. Election for new government

In second and most likely case, Nepal will remain same..the peace process will not move forward practically, parties will fight for government and compel to extend another term of CA that will create another constitutional and Judicial complication which will again create threat of relapse peace process in Nepal.

In worst case, government will decide impose 'State of Emergency" and extend CA for six months through President. Which will keep Nepali peace process in limbo. In worst case small parties, ethnic and religious groups start declaring own state which will worsen the country's security and territorial integrity and finally invite international (particularly Indian) intervention. Country can go for civil war where thousands of people will kill each other where party leaders will be instrumental to get credit and rule by law and dismantle all the democratic institutions.